The latest national survey of 1,972 registered voters by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted in two waves over a seven-day period, finds that the president's large margin of support in the initial period (Sept. 8-10) dissipated in the polling conducted Sept. 11-14. Among all registered voters Bush initially led Kerry by 52%-40%. However, the second wave of interviewing shows the race even among registered voters, at 46%-46%. When the sample is narrowed to likely voters, Bush holds a statistically insignificant lead of 47%-46% in the second wave, down from a huge 54%-38% advantage he held in the first wave of interviews.I'm not saying this means anything. I don't believe in polls. In 2002 Attorney General Strickland of Colorado had a 9 point lead the week of the race over incumbent US Senator Wayne Allard. Allard won by at least10 points, or so, the other way.
Anyway, point is, it's not over. Iraq is a disaster, and according to this survey:
This increased attentiveness is carrying over into heightened interest in the debates. Six-in-ten voters (61%) say it is very likely they will watch the debates between Bush and Kerry, which is significantly higher than debate interest in the last two elections.What my thought has been all along is simple. There's this belief that Evangelicals, which are a much less significant group than many assume, are going to come to the polls in droves. Newsflash!!! They did!!! They hated Clinton/Gore, and they came out. Besides, in so many of those states it's not even a race.
Bush has done very little aside from give away cash, create debt, and make us less safe (although many don't realize it). He hasn't earned 4 years. I maintain that Kerry will probably win this thing because considering how little people still know about him, and the poor campaign to date, he's still close.
I don't think this poll confirms anything just like I don't believe in the other polls.
Just have faith that Kerry can crush him in the debates regardless of low expectation for Bush. He will not get a free pass on this one. And if Kerry cannot beat Bush in debates, well, he doesn't deserve to be President of ANYTHING.