My buddy didn't vote in NYC on Tuesday because he said, "New York is going for Obama...my vote doesn't matter."
He's wrong. All votes matter.
There's a total number of votes counted, and the more people who cast their vote, the more a message is sent one way, or the other, to the candidate, politicians, and the country. So what if New York is going for Obama? By voting even in dominant states you send a message through the popular vote that more/less people feel a certain way.
Next time, vote.
Saturday, November 08, 2008
Friday, November 07, 2008
Something New?
Republicans are looking to work with President Obama:
I guess when you have run out of ideas it's better to repeat the old failing ones than new ones you do not have.
“Republicans stand ready to work with President-elect Obama and our Democratic counterparts in Congress to enact an economic recovery bill that focuses on tax relief from working families and small businesses, rather than increased spending on government programs and higher taxes,” said Representative John A. Boehner of Ohio, the House Republican minority leader.How many more times do they have to try, or how many more years have to pass before they realize that maybe, just maybe this one-trick-pony plan they cling to as a solution may not work?
I guess when you have run out of ideas it's better to repeat the old failing ones than new ones you do not have.
Palin
I'm watching Chris Matthews talk about Palin and her future, and I can't help but wonder a) why they're talking about this now and b) why they're talking about her ever!
They knew she didn't know basic civics, and yet they still chose her.
What the fuck? What is wrong with them? They don't want people to make decisions based on honest information, the Iraq War being the best example, and this being just another.
They were willing to put a woman who didn't know what NAFTA is one breath away from the Presidency.
Be proud, conservatives. Be proud. For you still look at her and think she has some type of value, or that she's useful. She's an idiot, and so are all of you who act as if she matters.
They knew she didn't know basic civics, and yet they still chose her.
What the fuck? What is wrong with them? They don't want people to make decisions based on honest information, the Iraq War being the best example, and this being just another.
They were willing to put a woman who didn't know what NAFTA is one breath away from the Presidency.
Be proud, conservatives. Be proud. For you still look at her and think she has some type of value, or that she's useful. She's an idiot, and so are all of you who act as if she matters.
Thursday, November 06, 2008
Almost...
Almost ready to post my thoughts. For the time being I've just been catching my breath, collectively with so many other people down here in Florida.
I've been loving the whole "today's a better day" thing a lot of us have been bandying about to each other. It's been nice to talk politics with guys like Carlos Condit and Miguel Torres, but not the gritty side, but the side of hope, so to speak. Everyone is just a bit happier today, and I'm sure Bush supporters have to feel it too. For they can finally stop being shit on!
Anyway, the sun shines that much brighter knowing someone responsible is leading us forward.
I've been loving the whole "today's a better day" thing a lot of us have been bandying about to each other. It's been nice to talk politics with guys like Carlos Condit and Miguel Torres, but not the gritty side, but the side of hope, so to speak. Everyone is just a bit happier today, and I'm sure Bush supporters have to feel it too. For they can finally stop being shit on!
Anyway, the sun shines that much brighter knowing someone responsible is leading us forward.
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Fantasy Thought
I'm in two fantasy football leagues to some extent in that I drafted both of my buddy's teams when he was on vacation with his family. Therefore, even though not financially on the hook, I assume I'll be rewarded if he wins either league. Right now we sit atop both leagues at 8-1 and 7-2 respectively.
In one league I have scored the most points, the other second most (maybe most after this week, as of now 8 back), but in both leagues I'm near the bottom in points against (meaning, had less scored against me). This has left me wondering: are my positions based on my teams' ability to score or the luck of having less points than the average scored against me?
An argument will be made by at least one team owner in every league that his (her) team experiences worse luck than yours by having had more points scored against them, but similar point totals scored. Or they'll at least say "dude, it's close though."
This begs the question of is luck dominant in fantasy football?
Of course, on some level, but not totally.
My league awards 2 points for a win and 1 point for finishing in the top half of the league weekly by scoring in the top half, so you can earn 3 for a good win. This helps create balance. One team is 6-3 according to win/loss record, would be third under that basic standard, but in our league sits 6th or 7th because of the extra point awarded. We are trying to reduce luck.
With this rule, my hypothesis might be there's a bit of luck, but better/dominant teams actually create their own luck just by the fact they're good. When opponents really need a win, but face a strong team like this, they may be forced to take more chances with their roster. Whether it be by trade, pickup, drop, or lineup change, a team owner in a pinch may try extra hard to get a win, or at least finish in the top half for a point on any given week. Therefore, while players do not actually play against each other in fantasy football, your teams' talent level has a direct impact on the opponent you'll face. In other words, it's not just luck, in many cases/leagues, that decides the fate of your fantasy football team week to week. A dominant team may force other teams to make big, and/or desperate changes which can result in a weak performance.
There could be a team that seemed to be "pretty good" but not worthy of taking risks against, and yet you come out on the bottom against such a team. That same team may also be lucky enough to play certain teams, at certain times, that weren't pressured to win, or could afford a loss. Also, they could be a bit lucky a few times, because luck is involved on many levels. Whatever the case, this team(s) does not change the fact that in many cases luck is overplayed by team owners, and not enough credit given too good team owners who "create their own luck" because of their dominance.
Btw, I'm almost not sober and writing this, hence, why I'm writing this at all.
In one league I have scored the most points, the other second most (maybe most after this week, as of now 8 back), but in both leagues I'm near the bottom in points against (meaning, had less scored against me). This has left me wondering: are my positions based on my teams' ability to score or the luck of having less points than the average scored against me?
An argument will be made by at least one team owner in every league that his (her) team experiences worse luck than yours by having had more points scored against them, but similar point totals scored. Or they'll at least say "dude, it's close though."
This begs the question of is luck dominant in fantasy football?
Of course, on some level, but not totally.
My league awards 2 points for a win and 1 point for finishing in the top half of the league weekly by scoring in the top half, so you can earn 3 for a good win. This helps create balance. One team is 6-3 according to win/loss record, would be third under that basic standard, but in our league sits 6th or 7th because of the extra point awarded. We are trying to reduce luck.
With this rule, my hypothesis might be there's a bit of luck, but better/dominant teams actually create their own luck just by the fact they're good. When opponents really need a win, but face a strong team like this, they may be forced to take more chances with their roster. Whether it be by trade, pickup, drop, or lineup change, a team owner in a pinch may try extra hard to get a win, or at least finish in the top half for a point on any given week. Therefore, while players do not actually play against each other in fantasy football, your teams' talent level has a direct impact on the opponent you'll face. In other words, it's not just luck, in many cases/leagues, that decides the fate of your fantasy football team week to week. A dominant team may force other teams to make big, and/or desperate changes which can result in a weak performance.
There could be a team that seemed to be "pretty good" but not worthy of taking risks against, and yet you come out on the bottom against such a team. That same team may also be lucky enough to play certain teams, at certain times, that weren't pressured to win, or could afford a loss. Also, they could be a bit lucky a few times, because luck is involved on many levels. Whatever the case, this team(s) does not change the fact that in many cases luck is overplayed by team owners, and not enough credit given too good team owners who "create their own luck" because of their dominance.
Btw, I'm almost not sober and writing this, hence, why I'm writing this at all.
Monday, November 03, 2008
Polls
I don't read about poll numbers, nor do I follow TV shows which feature them, so I generally don't hear THAT much polling info, or at least I don't take note of it. I have heard people discuss the effect of cell phones on polls, and whether younger people are under sampled because many don't have land-lines in their residences. I'm curious to know if that factor skews for/against either candidate.
I am sure this has been discussed on the news, and in the media, but again I don't really pay attention to this type of thing. Either way, I'd bet most analyses would be skewed in different directions depending on where you're hearing/seeing it. I heard Bill O'Reilly mention how McCain is starting to make inroads with the younger demo. Hmmm.
I'm going to go out on a short limb and declare the number of cell phone only users will have an effect on the polls, and that Obama will hold all of his ground, or maybe even gain, against what the polls are showing because of the cell-factor. That people who primarily use cell phones will in fact vote more heavily for Obama, and the numbers when all said and done will reflect this.
OR!
Maybe it's wishful thinking, and that all people now use cellphones, and we're equally divided in this community as well. Eventually, yes, but right now I'm going to say "no". This is a short run factor.
I am sure this has been discussed on the news, and in the media, but again I don't really pay attention to this type of thing. Either way, I'd bet most analyses would be skewed in different directions depending on where you're hearing/seeing it. I heard Bill O'Reilly mention how McCain is starting to make inroads with the younger demo. Hmmm.
I'm going to go out on a short limb and declare the number of cell phone only users will have an effect on the polls, and that Obama will hold all of his ground, or maybe even gain, against what the polls are showing because of the cell-factor. That people who primarily use cell phones will in fact vote more heavily for Obama, and the numbers when all said and done will reflect this.
OR!
Maybe it's wishful thinking, and that all people now use cellphones, and we're equally divided in this community as well. Eventually, yes, but right now I'm going to say "no". This is a short run factor.
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