Mock Draft Mastery

Round 2 begins today, but just wanted to throw out some things.

I did a Mock-off with some other guys for a little cash. Nothing serious. We also compared against Kiper, McShay, Mayock, etc.

I did not fair well, but here's how the experts did against the guy I know.

3 = right pick
2 = right spot/team
1 = chose right position



MIKE MAYOCK

1. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton, QB Auburn 3
2. Denver Broncos: Von Miller, LB Texas A&M 3
3. Buffalo Bills: Marcel Dareus, DT Alabama 3
4. Cincinnati Bengals: A.J. Green, WR Georgia 3
5. Arizona Cardinals: Patrick Peterson, CB LSU 3
6. Cleveland Browns: Julio Jones, WR Alabama 2
7. San Francisco 49ers: Blaine Gabbert, QB Missouri
8. Tennessee Titans: Nick Fairley, DT Auburn
9. Dallas Cowboys: Tyron Smith, OT USC 3
10. Washington Redskins: Prince Amukamara, CB Nebraska
11. Houston Texans: Robert Quinn, DE North Carolina
12. Minnesota Vikings: Aldon Smith, DE Missouri
13. Detroit Lions: Anthony Castonzo, OL Boston College
14. St. Louis Rams: Corey Liuget, DT Illinois
15. Miami Dolphins: Mike Pouncey, OL Florida 3
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Ryan Kerrigan, DE Purdue 2
17. New England Patriots: Cameron Jordan, DE California
18. San Diego Chargers: J.J. Watt, DE Wisconsin
19. New York Giants: Mark Ingram, RB Alabama
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Da'Quan Bowers, DE Clemson 1
21. Kansas City Chiefs: Danny Watkins, OL Baylor
22. Indianapolis Colts: Nate Solder, OL Colorado 1
23. Philadelphia Eagles: Gabe Carimi, OL Wisconsin 1
24. New Orleans Saints: Phil Taylor, DT Baylor
25. Seattle Seahawks: Marvin Austin, DT North Carolina
26. Baltimore Ravens: Jimmy Smith, CB Colorado 3
27. Atlanta Falcons: Adrian Clayborn, DE Iowa
28. *(Patriots trade pick): Jake Locker, QB Washington
29. Chicago Bears: Jonathan Baldwin, WR Pittsburgh
30. New York Jets: Akeem Ayers, LB UCLA
31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Williams, CB Texas
32. *(Packers trade pick): Andy Dalton, QB TCU

* Mayock predicts another team will trade into these slots to take a QB

KIPER

1. Newton 3
2. Denver - Von Miller 3
3. Buffalo - Marcel Dareus 3
4. Cincy - AJ Green 3
5. Arizona - Peterson 3
6. Cleveland - Julio 2
7. 49ers - Gabbert
8. Tenn - Fairley
9. Dallas - Cam Jordan
10. Redskins - Robert Quinn
11. Houston - Aldon Smith
12. Minnesota - Jake Locker
13. Lions - Tyron Smith
14. Rams - Corey Liuget
15. Miami - Mike Pouncey 3
16. Jacksonville - Ryan Kerrigan 2
17. Patriots - Muh. Wiklerson
18. San Diego - JJ Watt
19. Giants - Anthony Castonzo
20. Tampa - Prince Amukamara
21. Kansas City - Gabe Carimi
22. Indy Colts - Jake Solder 1
23. Eagles - Jimmy Smith
24. Saints - Da'Quan Bowers 1
25. Seahawks - Andy Dalton
26. Ravens - Akeem Ayers
27. Falcons - Adrian Clayborn
28. Patriots - Mark Ingram 2
29. Bears - Derek Sherrod 1
30. Jets - Phil Taylor
31. Pittsburgh - Aaron Williams
32. Green Bay - Danny Watkins 1


MCSHAY

1. Carolina - Newton 3
2. Denver - Miller 3
3. Buffalo - Dareus 3
4. Cincinnati - AJ Green 3
5. Arizona - Aldon Smith
6. Cleveland - Julio Jones 2
7. San Francisco - Blaine Gabbert
8. Tennessee - Fairley
9. Dallas - JJ Watt
10. Washington - Robert Quinn
11. Houston - Patrick Peterson
12. Minnesota - Tony Castonzo
13. Detroit - Tyron Smith
14. St. Louis - Corey Liuget
15. Miami - Mike Pouncey
16. Jacksonville - Ryan Kerrigan 2
17. New England (from Oakland) - Cameron Jordan
18. San Diego - Muh Wilkerson
19. New York Giants - Mark Ingram
20. Tampa Bay - Prince Amukamara
21. Kansas City - Nate Solder
22. Indianapolis - Gabe Carimi 1
23. Philadelphia - Jimmy Smith
24. New Orleans - Phil Taylor
25. Seattle - Danny Watkins 1
26. Baltimore - Adrian Clayborn
27. Atlanta - Daquan Bowers
28. New England - Brooks Reed
29. Chicago - Derek Sherrod 1
30. New York Jets - Akeem Ayers
31. Pittsburgh - Cameron Heyward 3
32. Green Bay - Aaron Williams


STOLLMYMONEY

1. Carolina - Cam Newton - QB, Aub 3
2. Denver - Marcell Dareus - DL, Bama
3. Buffalo - Von Miller - OLB, TAMU
4. Cincinnati - AJ Green - WR, UGa 3
5. Arizona - Patrick Peterson - CB, LSU 3
6. Cleveland - Julio Jones - WR, Bama 2
7. San Francisco - Prince Amakumara - CB, Neb
8. Tennessee - Nick Fairly - DT, Aub
9. Dallas - Tyron Smith - OT, USC 3
10. Washington - Blaine Gabbert - QB, Mizzou 2
11. Houston - JJ Watt - DE, Wisc 3
12. Minnesota - Jake Locker - QB, Wash 1
13. Detroit - Anthony Costanzo - OT, BC
14. St. Louis - Robert Quinn - DE, UNC 3
15. Miami - Mikel LeShoure - RB, Ill
16. Jacksonville - Christian Ponder - QB, FSU 1
17. New England (from Oakland) - Corey Liuget - DT, Ill
18. San Diego - Cameron Heyward - DL, tOSU
19. New York Giants - Gabe Carimi - OT, Wisc
20. Tampa Bay - Da'Quan Bowers - DE, Clem 1
21. Kansas City - Jimmy Smith - CB, Col
22. Indianapolis - Muhammed Wilkerson - DT, Temple
23. Philadelphia - Cameron Jordan - DE, Cal
24. New Orleans - Aldon Smith - DE, Mizzou 1
25. Seattle - Andy Dalton - QB, TCU
26. Baltimore - Aaron Williams - CB, Texas 1
27. Atlanta - Adrian Clayborne - DE, Iowa
28. New England - Brooks Reed - OLB, AZ
29. Chicago - Jonathan Baldwinn - WR, Pitt
30. New York Jets - PhilTaylor - NT, Baylor
31. Pittsburgh - Mike Pouncey - OG, UF 3
32. Green Bay - Derek Sherrod - OT, Miss St.

Vittorio Tafur - SF Chron

1. Panthers - Newtown 3
2. Redskins - Gabbert (via trade)
3. Bills - Dareus 3
4. Bengals - Green 3
5. Arizona - Von Miller
6. Cleveland - Julio Jones 2
7. San Francisco - Patrick Peterson
8. Tennessee - Nick Fairley
9. Dallas - Tyron Smith 3
10. Broncos - Robert Quinn (trade)
11. Houston - Prince Amukamara
12. Minnesota - Jake Locker 1
13. Detroit - Aldon Smith
14. St. Louis - Corey Liuget
15. Miami - Cameron Jordan
16. Jacksonville - Ryan Kerrigan 2
17. New England (from Oakland) - JJ Watt
18. San Diego - DaQuan Bowers
19. New York Giants - Anthony Castonzo
20. Tampa Bay - Adrian Clayborn 3
21. Kansas City - Mike Pouncey
22. Indianapolis - Gabe Carimi 1
23. Philadelphia - Danny Watkins 3
24. New Orleans - Akeem Ayers
25. Seattle - Muhammed Wilkerson
26. Baltimore - Jimmy Smith 3
27. Atlanta - Cam Heyward
28. New England - Team X - Dalton
29. Chicago - Team X - Ponder
30. New York Jets - Phil Taylor
31. Pittsburgh - Aaron Williams
32. Green Bay - Ryan Mallett



Ranks
1. Mayock 31
2. StollmyMoney 30
3. Kiper 28
4. Tafur 27
5. McShay 22

Putting aside the fact that these "insiders" pretty much knew the first 4 picks, my buddy was 1 off beating Mayock. Stoll flipped Dareus and Miller, and would have 6 more point, blowing away the field.

In other words, regular guy defeats paid experts.

We discussed revisiting this draft next season to discuss who was "right", in essence, not what teams did do, but what they should have done.

Is the point of the mock to predict what teams will do, or what they should do? I feel like no one really knows since Kiper has famously argued with GMs on the air about what he believed was the "wrong pick" (Trent Dilfer).

I'd love to revisit this next year to see who was accurate in assessing what player should be picked, when, and where.

As of now though, there are always busts. Always.

Someone has to be the guy(s). In the top 10 I'm sensing Aldon Smith, Tyron Smith and most likely Gabbert will all be average.

For the record, McShay is the only "guru" who didn't have a first rounder, top ten pick, Jack Locker selected in the FIRST ROUND!

Good work, son!